A Breakfast Dinner
Age may teach a judgement from a more overall distant
view, both in physical and time-dimensions, it can, I hope, give valuable
judgement. It is often said we would have made an alternative decision, if we
had known that, then.
More and more I find track record and an awareness of
the outcome of what has happened in the past in similar circumstances an
indicator of a likelihood of something similar. All depends on memory unless
you are a scholar. Sadly, brief life offers a dimmer - just when potentially we
may be getting an understanding!
With the use of some of the attributes mentioned plus
a great respect for balance- these are my present offers on the phenomena of
Brexit- a name with a connotation of a large breakfast related to a dog’s
dinner!
With the broader view with time and space it is only
by comparison can we judge if one road may be of benefit over another. Often it
is the secondary consequences of action which become the predominant issue,
rather than the issue itself. It usually is over simplification just to grab an
idea with conviction.
It is a sadness that I observe the phenomena of the
divide. Binary is the order of the day as are computers. Today a better
attribute is that individually we have our own ideas and minds, nuances of
difference abound. Binary political Parties now are confused.
There is a choice to ignore different views, and
Politicians to grasp their old friend ‘dogma’, just where did that land us in
the past? Or, another trick may be to regain control/respect through the public
being afraid, so gather support that way. Another ploy is all have a common
enemy. If there are no common thoughts among us bring in a country or leader to
hate. At least it helps to point all in a common direction. Is this not now wearing
a little thin and becoming transparent?
The other potential controller is a significant down
turn in the economy. At this time many are vulnerable when there is so much
debt. The question is, is Brexit going to be successful. The Government faction
leading are telling us it is as with UKIP.
Perhaps in Mrs May’s speech she tried to simplify our
exit to avoid delay. Delay and uncertainty being bad for the economy, is this
almost inevitable? If it is: at which stage would it be best to happen? Leaving
the EU to sort out its own burdensome bureaucracy rather than this country
employ droves of civil servants may be helpful? If indeed that is possible.
Perhaps magically the European Union could fly into
the air and the pieces land in a more pleasing fashion with a movement to less,
looser ties and a more overall agreement relating to immigration.
The chances of an effective independent immigration
policy in Britain are not great. Successive governments have promised to
control it for decades unsuccessfully. There are sounds from other EU countries
that they too wish some control. The chances of agreed policies with these
or/and the EU would I believe have a better opportunity of success and be less
costly.
Usually, it does not make good sense to fall out with
neighbours. Usually also, imbued with dogma and bravado may muster public
enthusiasm temporarily, but when/if an economic downturn kicks in: it could
well be great regret, rather than bravado for supporters of Brexit.
Starting negotiation with a new American President
supporting Britain could well be treated with suspicion and mar good deals. The
trade agreement TTIP with Europe has not been approved. Getting an agreement
even through the back door could be favourable for the Americans. It needs to
be remembered that the EU is a competitor.
Is this deal good for Britain? Does it involve GM
crops and more pesticides and the sale of fracking equipment? American debt is
enormous and dependant at present on the sale of armaments. The number of fines
issued to foreign firms increases, barely a week goes by without one. Any trade
agreement with them could increase our vulnerability.
Britain could jump out of a frying pan into a furnace.
Another worrying factor is control of immigration and Brexit, is by trying to
implement one in this present climate influenced by UKIP, could this lead to
more racist attacks and bias: apart from making the Country more unpleasant? If
this does not bother Brexiteers then unrest costs money- another down for the
Economy.
Another alarming factor: is with the possibility of
economic slowdown this could herald more deregulation. We have already in very
recent memory been down this road. One would have hoped all would remember.
The good news is that our PM will not go ahead if ‘Leaving’
is worse than staying in, or rather more damaging. That was my understanding of
her words. I just hope that this realization does not happen too late. My understanding says it could be.
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